Monday, October 1, 2012

FPL Over- and Under-performers up to GW6

I was planning to overview the over- and under-performers during the International break, but with a game-week where many differentials had a great performance and many regular names failed to perform I thought it was a good idea to do it now and maybe help some managers avoid knee-jerk transfers. 

!!!On a side note:
I will not look at some of the players that went crazy this GW like Suarez and Sahin- but I do suggest not to get carried away with all the bandwagons. Out of the players with big scores this gameweek I see these players as possible good long term investments: Suarez, Gerrard, Sterling, Jelavic, Bale, Verthongen, Mata, Gervinho, Silva, Ramirez(Southampton), Walters, Morrison, Ba, Torres(only because Chelsea still look like they will play him constantly), Aguero, Van Persie, Rooney, all Stoke defenders and Sunderland defenders, Clark

Over-Performers


Peter Crouch- I looked at the entire PL career for Crouch to get a better idea of his normal conversion rate, mostly because last seasons was offensively very poor for Stoke, so his stats were probably worse than normal for last year.

  • GW1-6: Shots taken:13 Goals scored:4
  • Normal rate of shot conversion: 2.08 shots per game, 8.9 shots per goal


Fletcher- Normal shot conversion on the samples of last 2 seasons, the SPgame is not important here as he was off the bench in many games 2 years ago.


  • GW1-6: Shots taken:8 Goals scored:5
  • Normal rate of shot conversion: 1.89 shots per game, 5.227 shots per goal

Under-Performers



Hoilett-
  • GW1-6: Shots taken:9 Goals scored:0
  • GW1-6: Key passes made:1 Assists made:0
  • Normal rate of shot conversion: 1.9 shots per game, 9.23 shots per goal
  • Normal rate of key pass conversion: 1.3  key passes per game 8.84  key passes per assist

Hazard
  • GW1-6: Shots taken:13 Goals scored:1(Penalty)
  • GW1-6: Key passes made:11 Assists made:4
  • Normal rate of key pass conversion: 2.4 key passes per game, 4.56 key passes per assist
  • Normal rate of shot conversion: 2.8 shots per game, 8.85 shots per goal(with no penalties included as he took 9 last year and probably wont take many this year, the number would be 5.32 if I would include penalties)
I inserted Hazard here as a reminder to keep faith with players especially if they have a home fixture VS Norwich coming up. As we see he is due a goal or even 2 in the coming fixtures.  This situation is similar to the one of Michu at the present time. And as a warning sign we can look at Gareth Bale who was sold by many after a few poor game-weeks.


I Will be following this up with an article about people of interest- it includes not so widely owned players who have done well and thoughts about Tevez, Ba and some other mid priced strikers.
If there are some players who you would like to see investigated by me than let me know with a comment or on twitter @KristjanPulma, and of course follow for more of the same.


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