Friday, October 26, 2012

GW9 Dream team



Bench: Guzan, Cazorla, Boyce, Gorkss

Comments


Goalkeepers:

Begovic- One of the best defenses at home vs the worst offense in the league 

Guzan- Villa at home vs Norwich probably low scoring so Villa very likely for a CS.

Defenders: 

Richards- I went for Richards over Kolarov here as he is more nailed on this week with Maicon and Zabaleta out. Overall a very attacking defender with a good fixture this week.

Santos- Very attacking player and a differential with a nice fixture.

Huth- Stoke are the likeliest for a CS this week, and Huth is the most attacking of their defenders.

Boyce- OOP defender with a nice fixture and lots of goal threat. 

Gorkss- Reading should be better defensively than they have been so far and have a nice fixture this week. Gorkss is also a nice goal threat from set pieces also very cheap.

Midfielders:

Gervinho- This is a big risk over Cazorla since it is dependent on weather he will play as the striker or on the wing.  But I just don't like Cazorla that much any more after I got him in my team :). I feel a bit cheated after falling for his flair.

Cazorla- I at least had to put him on the bench

Nasri- Great differential with a good fixture. Should be very involved in all of City's attacking as long as Silva is out.

Bale- The best player in the team playing against the worst defense in the league. I also considered Dempsey for the differential value, but just could not overlook Bale here.

Maloney- What is there not to like about him attacking, on penalties, cheap and has a good home fixture vs West Ham this week.

Forwards:

Aguero- is probably the best forward option this week, providing he starts the game.

Ba- is my favorite forward option so far this season, and a great option this week against the struggling WBA defense

Defoe- I love basically every attacking player going against Southampton, so Defoe is the obvious choice for my third striker.


Have great gameweek everyone!!! Follow me @KristjanPulma for more of the same.

Friday, October 19, 2012

FPL GW 8 Dream Team





Bench: Schwarzer, Pienaar, Riise, Davies(SWA)


Comments

Defense: 

Really strong offensive presence in the defense this week, outside of Davies. All teams represented have a great chance for a CS and at least one of that back 4 should produce attacking returns.

Midfield:

I really like Valencia and Gerrard this week for their differential value and both with great fixtures and very likely to start. Michu and Nolan as the budget heavy hitters- both offer loads of goal threat for their price and both have a great fixture this week. Pienaar only made it to the bench, mainly because he is the only one of my players with an away game.

Forwards:

I went for some ultimate differentials here: Andy Carroll and Giroud facing the worst defenses in the PL look like great options, especially with ownerships like 0.6% (Carroll) and 1% (Giroud). And RVP here also with a nice home game. Suarez barely missed out, but I felt I already had too much Liverpool.


I wish a great Game-week to everyone, follow me on twitter @KristjanPulma for more of the same.

Friday, October 5, 2012

FPL GW7 dream team


Subs:Foster(GK) Morrison, Gaston Ramirez, Davies
Just missed out: Petric, Bale

COMMENTS

Defenders

I have gone for the heavy hitters in defense as I feel all the historically solid defensive sides like City, Chelsea, Liverpool, Tottenham will come good this GW. A WBA defender misses out on the starting lineup mainly because of the injury issue in the back line. If I owned any of them they would go straight in my starting lineup.  

Midfielders 

Its time for Michu to deliver after many of us have kept faith for a long time. Same goes for Hazard. I got Dempsey instead of Bale for the incredible differential value. Petric just missed out whereas Berbatov(if fit) would have been in instead of Torres. I watched the WBA game last week and Morrison was impressive- so I am backing him again this week. Sterling is my best dirt cheap option this week.

Forwards

Lambert gets the nod over Gaston Ramirez in the starting lineup as Southamption cover which is a good idea vs Fulham at home this GW. Defoe also gets the nod here with Villa likely to concede and Adebayor still not 100% fit.


Good luck to everyone this GW. Follow me on twitter @KristjanPulma for more of the same 

GW7 shortlist:Tevez and McClean need replacing

I just wanted to take a look at a few players who I am considering to import into my team this week or the next, and also have a look at how good of an idea is it to get rid of Tevez. With a good look at the possible replacements for him including a closer look at Ba who is slowly turning into a must own again. 


Tevez and the other mid price strikers:


Carlos Tevez- He is one of the most owned player in the game and also the most transferred out player currently. With a home fixture vs Sunderland and nice fixtures after that coming up it is a big dilemma for myself weather to keep him or get rid. 

His shot conversion rate calculated based on last 2 seasons( for the 2010 season I will discount the goals and shots used for Pens)
  • GW1-6: Shots taken:17(2.8PG) Goals scored:3
  • GW1-6: Key passes made:7(1.2PG) Assists made:2
  • Normal rate of shot conversion:3.34 shots per game, 7.7368 shots per goal
  • Normal rate of key pass conversion(2010-11): 1.7  key passes per game 5.167  key passes per assist
After doing the numbers I am surprised how poor of a striker he is for FPL managers especially considering the low number of shots he takes for a striker with a low conversion rate. But as he did not play in the UCL he now seems likely to start on the weekend. I personally will keep him for now, but if I would be getting rid I would consider these options along with the majorities favorite Suarez.

Tuesday, October 2, 2012

Fantasy Uefa CL Dream team GW2

The Champions league is upon us again, and it is time to enjoy some top quality football. But first lets make sure our fantasy teams are in order.
!!!FOR PEOPLE WHO PLAY THE OFFICIAL UEFA GAME!!!Dont forget to use managerial subs, that means start all players who have a game on day 1 and switch the ones that did badly out for your day 2 players. The same with Captains- at first captain a player with a game on day 1 and if he does not do well than switch to someone on day 2.


Bench: Mannone(GK) Sammir, Nonkeu, Demichelis

Captain day 1: Messi
Captain day 2: Ronaldo

Comments:

Defenders and Goalkeepers
  • Jenkinson and Mannone- two 4 mil defensive players for an improved Arsenal team with a good home game vs Olympiacos are very good value. 
  • Vidal is just the best defender in his game for his Pen duty and for the fact that he is actually a midfielder and he will probably be in my starting lineup all season long.
  • Cant look past Marcelo this week with his explosiveness on the offensive end going against a weaker Ajax side
  • On the bench are 2 cheaper options with good fixtures IMO Nonkeu vs Braga and Demichelis vs Anderlecht
  • Unnerstall keeps his place with a 3 mil price tag and a nice fixture coming up.
Midfielders


  • Lampard(only 7mil) is likely to start tonight and is always likely to put in a good game in the UCL(also takes pens for Chelsea)
  • With Rooney and RVP reportedly starting this time for United, I really like Nani at 7.5 to be the man getting the assists with all this striking power up front
  • Kroos speaks for himself with his form and price and with Robben out this week- he is the best Bayern midfielder for fantasy in my opinion
  • Cazorla- another Arsenal player is a even a long term move with 2 great home fixtures up for the Gunners- he is also the center of all Arsenal attacking play- so bound be a part of some points this week and/or the next.
  • One the bench we have Sammir a man with an incredible form in his home league, hopefully he can find his feet in UCL too. 
Forwards
  • I just cant look beyond Messi despite the tricky fixture- you just know he can pop up with a brace in any game and a reliable captain option as always
  • Cristiano Ronaldo- the man is selfish and on pens and most free kicks for Real madrid. That is exactly what you want from your fantasy player- he is also the best C option for day 2
  • Hunterlaar- great fixture and a great player- enjoy the points :)

Follow me on twitter @KristjanPulma for more of the same! :)

Monday, October 1, 2012

FPL Over- and Under-performers up to GW6

I was planning to overview the over- and under-performers during the International break, but with a game-week where many differentials had a great performance and many regular names failed to perform I thought it was a good idea to do it now and maybe help some managers avoid knee-jerk transfers. 

!!!On a side note:
I will not look at some of the players that went crazy this GW like Suarez and Sahin- but I do suggest not to get carried away with all the bandwagons. Out of the players with big scores this gameweek I see these players as possible good long term investments: Suarez, Gerrard, Sterling, Jelavic, Bale, Verthongen, Mata, Gervinho, Silva, Ramirez(Southampton), Walters, Morrison, Ba, Torres(only because Chelsea still look like they will play him constantly), Aguero, Van Persie, Rooney, all Stoke defenders and Sunderland defenders, Clark

Over-Performers


Peter Crouch- I looked at the entire PL career for Crouch to get a better idea of his normal conversion rate, mostly because last seasons was offensively very poor for Stoke, so his stats were probably worse than normal for last year.

  • GW1-6: Shots taken:13 Goals scored:4
  • Normal rate of shot conversion: 2.08 shots per game, 8.9 shots per goal