Tuesday, September 18, 2012

UCL fantasy defensive and offensive ratings

I am going to look at this in a simple way in terms of goals conceded per game and goals scored per game for teams. Some sample sizes are small but still we can get some idea of a teams form.

Defenses


English Premier League (4 games played):

Arsenal  0.25
Chelsea  0.5
Man United 1.25
Man City 1.5

Erdevisie 5 games played

Ajax 1

Serie A 3 games played:

Juventus  0.666
Ac Milan 1

Liga Sagres 3 games played:

Benfica/Porto   0.6666
Braga   1.666

Ukrainian Premier League 9 games played:

Shaktar Donetsk  0.4444
Dynamo Kiev   0.77777

La Liga 4 games played:

Barcelona 0.75
Real Madrid  1
Malaga  0.5
Valencia 1.5



Superlig Turkey 4 games played:

Galatasaray 1.5

Bundesliga 3 games played:

Bayern Munich 0.66
Borussia Dortmund 0.66
Shalke 1

Greek Super League 3 games played:

Olympiacos: 0.66

Ligue 1 5 games played:

PSG 0.6
Lille 1.4
Montepellier 1.6

Russian Premeir League 8 games played:

Zenit 6,  0.75
Spartak Moscov 1.75
       

Offenses


English Premier League (4 games played):

Man United 2.5
Man City 2.25
Arsenal  2
Chelsea 2


Erdevisie 5 games played

Ajax 3.4


Serie A 3 games played:

Juventus 3
Milan 1

Liga Sagres 3 games played:

Benfica 3.333
Porto 2.333
Braga 1.6666

Ukrainian Premier League 9 games played:

Shaktar 3.555
Dinamo Kiev 1.7777

La Liga 4 games played:

Barcelona 3
Real Madrid   1
Malaga 1.5
Valencia  1.5

Superlig Turkey 4 games played:

Galatasaray   3

Bundesliga 3 games played:

Bayern Munich 4
Borussia Dortmund  2
Shalke 2.3333

Greek Super League 3 games played:

Olympiacos   2.6666

Ligue 1 5 games played:

PSG  1.2
Lille 1.4
Montepellier  1.2

Russian Premeir League 8 games played:

Zenit 2.125
Spartak Moscov  1.75


To conclude I will rank top 10 defenses and offenses for GW1, as a suggestion point I will use the sum of the defensive and offensive output of opposing teams, but I will also very strongly consider the current form and level of the leagues when making my decision.

Defenses


1. Bayen Munich- with all of their defensive assets fit and Javi Garcia added to their squad I think they are the likeliest option for a CS

2. Arsenal FC- With Montpellier struggling in Ligue 1 and Arsenal showing excellent defensive form I would not be surprised to see them grab a CS here despite the away fixture

3.Barcelona- There is some reason to be careful here with Puyol out inured and Alba possibly missing out with a Virus but a home game against a struggling Spartak Moscov is still a very good bet for a CS.

4.PSG- Thiago Silva looks set to make his debut against Dynamo Kyiv and Kyiv aren't banging the goals in in their local league either.

5. Manchester United- With questionable defensive form in the PL and a very attacking Galatasaray team as an opponent, the Man United defenders will have their work cut out for them. But I think they might just get it done.

6.Borussia Dortmund- They are a strong defense, but fell so far mainly due to the ability of Ajax to put the ball in the net. I see a 3-1 win here for Borussia

7.Shaktar Donetsk- they have impressive form in the Ukrainian league and if Norsjaelland is not the next Basel than they could keep the CS without any mayor problems.

8 and 9 SC Braga and CFR 1907 Cluj I can see this being a low scoring draw so 0:0 could be on the cards.

10. Real Madrid- despite the horrible form I still expect them to motivate themselves for CL and pull off a 1-0 win here.

Offenses

1. FC Barcelona- at home against the leaky Spartak

2. Mancester United- at home against an even leakier Galatasaray

3. Borussia Dortmund- Home game vs very leaky Ajax

4. Bayern Munchen- Home game and impressive form against a struggling Valencia

5. PSG- Home game against a weak Dynamo side, but their own questionable offensive form ranks them down here

6. Shaktar Donetsk- Very good form and a possibly easy home game, hard to tell where the goals will come from though.

7. Arsenal FC- Good form and against a struggling Montpellier side- but I wont get over exited after they run rampant against a horrible Southampton. They still are not a very high scoring side, and the goals could come from anywhere.

8. Benfica- Great fixture and form but playing away against a decent home side

9. AC Milan- Great fixture, but horrible form in Serie A so far.

10. Really impossible to make the difference between the rest


GW1 dream team coming up soon and follow me on twitter @KristjanPulma for fantasy UCL and PL related news and posts!!!

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