Wednesday, July 11, 2012

FPL price tease

Premierleague.com have released a small teaser in to FPL player  prices https://twitter.com/premierleague/statuses/223053062988767233.


Wednesdays tease: Hazard 9.5 m, Pavel Pogrebnyak 5.0 m, Park 6.0 m

  • Hazard at 9.5 could be decent value if chelsea can get the team to click early. Decision: watchlist
  • I am not very excited about the other two but Pavel Pogrebnyak at 5.0 could be good value if Reading turn out to be any good. But I am taking a wait and see approach with him, after he failed to get any minutes for Russia in Euro 2012 despite the poor performances of their front man Kerzhakov. Decision:watch closely, could be a nice punt for GW1 dough, considering Reading have the DGW.
  • Whereas Park I will probably avoid completely, because at 6.0 there are bound to be better players. Park wont take any set pieces and looking at his 4 goals and 4 assists with 24 games started and 11 games off the bench, he has never been a high scorer or assist provider, even for a great team like United. Decision: avoid 



The teaser is suggesting that the game will launch soon, time to get back in the FPL zone.



Thursdays tease: Papiss Cisse 9.5 m, Sigurdsson 9.0 m, Shinji Kagawa 8.5 m. 




  • Considering last years points output Papiss Cisse at 9.5m is valued nicely, even cheap if he can replicate his last years form. But I personally feel that teams will be more prepared for Newcastle this season, and that all of their players could let fantasy managers down. This is mostly because last years impressive results have probably inflated all of their prices. Decision: watchlist

  • Sigurdsson at 9m looks a tad overpriced, but a price in the range of  8-9m was expected.  He is expected to start instead of VDV on top of the 3 man midfield that AVB usually uses. The same position Ramirez played for Chelsea, but Siggy is a better attacking player than Ramirez was and probably will have less defensive duties . It looks like most of the offense will go through him, but if we look at the Porto team stats from 2010-11 which is probably the best example of AVBs managerial style we can see that most of the scoring was done by the front 3 players in the team. Hulk, Falcao and Varela combined for 49 in the Portugese league that season, with the next best player scoring only 5 goals.  Luckly we have an away game against Newcastle to see how AVB will organize his team, just in time to pick our player to invest in for the following good run of WBA(H) NOR(H), RDG(A) and QPR(H). Decision: watch closely for GW2

  • Kagawa 8.5m, looks like it could go both ways as we are still unsure on how he will be deployed for the Manchester United team. Mostly because he likes to play behind the striker or on the wing if needed. That would mean he would be starting instead of either Welbeck/Hernandez with Rooney moving up top, or two of Nani, Young, Valencia remaining on the bench. Im really hoping that Fergie tweaks his system a bit and he can come in for Carrick in the midfield to add a bit more creativity to the midfield of United. That would be bad for his fantasy value as he will be depending on assists and rare runs in the box for his points. If he gets to play on the wing or behind the striker on a regular basis he could be the best value in the united team in my opinion, and he would be very likely to produce Silva like stats this season a la 10 ast 10 goals. Decision: great pick if starting


Fridays tease: Tevez 9m, Giroud 9m, Jelavic 8.5m

At first the FPL guys attempted to be funny and tweeted that Tevez was 6m. Not funny guys :)
  • Tevez 9m- At 6 mil everyone was looking to bring him in. But even at 9 if he manages to ensure himself a starting role, he will be a bargain. If he cant than he wont even be worth a look. Decision: great pick if starting
  • Giroud 9m- He was a nice payer for Montpellier in league 1 scoring 21 goals and 9 ast in 36 games, but it did take him about 8 shots to score a goal. If he takes the place of RVP than one can at least speculate that he will get a similar amount of opportunities as him. That would translate into approx. 21.85 goals presuming that he plays the full 38 games. This would be the best case scenario for him. But this kind of dream story rarely happens, and Podolski is not really a passer and could even start some games centrally instead of him. After saying all of this he could be another Chamakh, or blow up and take Arsenal to the next level without RVP. Decision:watchlist.

  • Jelavic 8.5m, looks like the most solid pick out of all the players who have had their prices released. Especially if Baines leaves Everton in that case he will be the Penalty taker for Everton. Even if Baines stays he will still be the main source of their goals. Decision: In my team as soon as good fixtures come along.



Saturday and Sunday tease: Clint Dempsey 9.5m, Suarez 9.5m, Walters 6.5m, Michel Vorm 5.5m, Rickie Lambert(SOT) 6m, Kevin Nolan 6.0m


  • Dempsey 9.5m is a great pick for his home games as always, and even his price is very reasonable considering he was the top scoring mid last season.  I would not have been surprised to see him at 10 or 10.5, so this is a nice surprise for fantasy managers everywhere. Decision: In my team as soon as  good fixtures come along

  • Suarez 9.5m- is someone I will try to avoid unless the fixtures get too tasty or form picks up compared to the past 2 years, because a 9.5mil striker with a 6.6% conversion rate is not someone I want taking up one of my valuable 3 striker spots. There is always a chance that he will improve, but thankfully the first 5 fixtures for Liverpool are horrible: WBA(A), MCI(H), ARS(H), SUN(A),MUN(H)-so we have a chance to observe how they play under their new manager. Decision: watchlist 

  • Walters 6.5m- if classified as a forward than avoid . If classified as a mid and he keeps his set piece duties than use the same as last year avoiding him unless the fixtures or form pick up, as Stoke are a horrible offensive side. Decision:Watchlist

  • Michel Vorm 5.5m- avoid, the price is just too much, and Swansea are unlikely to repeat last seasons defensive soccess, especially as they will have a new coaching and playing style to get used to and have lost one of their key defenders in Caulker. Decision: Avoid

  • Rickie Lambert 6m- 25 goals and 12 assists last year in the championship and is also the likely penalty taker for his team. There is potential here, but there is need to wait and see here, as he could be another Taarabt. Luckily Southampton have horrible starting fixtures so we have time to observe our options.  Decision: watchlist

  • Kevin Nolan 6m- one of the best players for West Ham, but it seems like the 6m evaluation is more related to his previous impressive FPL seasons, as it seems a bit much. He scored 12 goals and 5 assists last season in the Championship, and it is likely that this number will be reduced against stronger competition. The man is also 30 years old now, and playing with a weaker team than last time he was in the PL, in my personal opinion. He also as no set pieces in his bag, so that makes up my mind that he is not worth investment this year. Decision: avoid.

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